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==============================================   Thursday, June 27, 2002
 
Bets that Make a Difference

Hello everyone,

Last night I was going through the Zumma tester book: 72 Days at the Baccarat Table by Erick St. Germain, scrolling through random pages.  At the end of each shoe, there is a statistics table showing the number of Banker and Player decisions.  At times the difference between those two numbers is pretty close.  However, most of the time this difference ranges between 6 and 16.   Shoe number 105, for instance, shows 42 Banker versus 27 Player decisions.  Shoe number 161, on the other hand, shows 27 Banker versus 41 Player decisions. 

It would be nice if we knew beforehand if there will be more Player or Banker decisions.  Then winning would be a piece of cake, wouldn't it?  We would just bet on only Player bet or Banker bets.  But unfortunately, there is no way of knowing this before starting to bet on a specific shoe and completing all bets on that shoe.

What we surely do know, though, is that there will be a difference between the number of Player and Banker decisions.  Why don't we then bet on this difference?  Then the number of units we can win until the end of the shoe will be up to the amount of this difference.

The idea is that if there will be more Player decisions, we should be betting on Player, if there will be more Banker decisions, we should be betting on Banker bets.  How do we synchronize then our bets towards the Banker or the Player side?  A very simple method I thought of is to note this difference from the very beginning of the shoe by counting the number of Player and Banker decisions.  Then we bet on whichever side has the greater count.  This way, at the end of the shoe, if we had more Player decisions, we will have bet on the Player side and if we had more Banker decisions, we will have bet on the Banker side automatically. 

I have tested this on quite a few shoes and it works quite well.  Let's take shoe number 105 and see how this method works.

Zumma Shoe # 105

Read the table in the format:

Sequence/Decision/Count B's/Count P's/Next Bet/Bet On/Win or Lose/Bet Amount/Cash/Net Profit

1	P	0	1	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	$0
2	B	1	1	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$100
3	P	1	2	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$100
4	P	1	3	P	P	W	$100	$100	$0
5	B	2	3	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$100
6	B	3	3	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$200
7	B	4	3	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$200
8	B	5	3	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$105
9	P	5	4	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$205
10	B	6	4	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$110
11	P	6	5	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$210
12	B	7	5	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$115
13	B	8	5	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$20
14	B	9	5	B	B	W	$100	$95	$75
15	B	10	5	B	B	W	$100	$95	$170
16	B	11	5	B	B	W	$100	$95	$265
17	B	12	5	B	B	W	$100	$95	$360
18	P	12	6	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$260
19	B	13	6	B	B	W	$100	$95	$355
20	P	13	7	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$255
21	B	14	7	B	B	W	$100	$95	$350
22	P	14	8	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$250
23	B	15	8	B	B	W	$100	$95	$345
24	B	16	8	B	B	W	$100	$95	$440
25	B	17	8	B	B	W	$100	$95	$535
26	P	17	9	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$435
27	B	18	9	B	B	W	$100	$95	$530
28	P	18	10	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$430
29	B	19	10	B	B	W	$100	$95	$525
30	P	19	11	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$425
31	P	19	12	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$325
32	B	20	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$420
33	B	21	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$515
34	B	22	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$610
35	B	23	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$705
36	B	24	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$800
37	B	25	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$895
38	B	26	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$990
39	B	27	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,085
40	B	28	12	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,180
41	P	28	13	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,080
42	P	28	14	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$980
43	P	28	15	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$880
44	B	29	15	B	B	W	$100	$95	$975
45	B	30	15	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,070
46	B	31	15	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,165
47	B	32	15	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,260
48	B	33	15	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,355
49	P	33	16	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,255
50	P	33	17	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,155
51	B	34	17	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,250
52	B	35	17	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,345
53	B	36	17	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,440
54	P	36	18	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,340
55	B	37	18	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,435
56	B	38	18	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,530
57	P	38	19	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,430
58	P	38	20	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,330
59	P	38	21	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,230
60	B	39	21	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,325
61	P	39	22	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,225
62	B	40	22	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,320
63	P	40	23	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,220
64	B	41	23	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,315
65	P	41	24	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,215
66	P	41	25	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,115
67	B	42	25	B	B	W	$100	$95	$1,210
68	P	42	26	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,110
69	P	42	27	B	B	L	$100	-$100	$1,010

You come to the Baccarat table.  You don't bet on the very first decision.  You see what it is, and you start counting them.  If it's a Player, you register one under column Count P's.  If it's a Banker, you register 1 under column Count B's.  You do that for every decision.  As more Player decisions come, you increment the count under column Count P's and as more Banker decisions come, you increment the count under column Count B's and so on.

If the count of either Banker of Player is greater, that determines your next bet.  If the number under Count P's is greater you bet on Player on your next decision.  If the number under Count B's is greater, you bet on Banker on your next decision. 

In shoe 105 above, the first decision is a P.  We register 1 under column Count P's and 0 under column Count B's.  So, we know we will bet on P on our next bet, since the number of Count P's is now greater than Count B's.  In sequence 2, a Banker decision comes up.  We lose that bet.  Registering the counts, we have now 1 for P's and 1 for B's.  Since this count is equal, we don't bet on our next bet.

A P comes up in sequence 3.  Now the count is greater for P's and we bet P on our next bet.  A P comes up in sequence 4.  We win that bet.  You must have noticed that we just need to use flat bets and I happen to chose $100 units.  The table takes into account Banker commissions when we win on Banker decisions.  You can see the amount of bet, how much we cash or lose and the net profit calculations at the three last columns respectively. 

In sequence 4, the count of the P's grows again and is greater than the count of B's.  So we bet on P on our next bet. 

In sequence 5, a B comes up.  We lose that bet.  The count is still greater on the P's.  So we bet P again on our next bet.

In sequence 6, a B comes up again.  We lose that bet, too.  The count of P's and B's become the same.  So we don't bet on our next bet.  We won't bet until one the counts become greater.

In sequence 7, a B comes up again.  Now the count becomes greater for B's, which determines that we should bet B on our next bet.

So we bet B and in sequence 8, a B comes up.  We win that bet.  The count increases for B's.  So we decide to bet B again for our next bet.

In sequence 9, a P shows up.  We lose that bet.  We increment the count for the P's, but the count of the B's is still greater.  So we decide to bet on B on our next bet.

In sequence 10, a B shows up.  We win that bet.  We increment the count for the B's and leave the count for the P's the same.  If you notice, after sequence 10, the count for the B's remains greater than the count for the P's until the remainder of the shoe.  Therefore, we keep betting B until sequence 69, the end of the shoe.  The Banker side remains dominant and makes us a winner, profiting exactly $1,010 for the entire shoe.

Let's now take the other shoe, number 161, where the number of Players were greater than the number of Bankers and see if the method will be able to synchronize to the side which has the greater difference.

Zumma Shoe # 161

Sequence/Decision/Count B's/Count P's/Next Bet/Bet On/Win or Lose/Bet Amount/Cash/Net Profit

1	P	0	1	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	$0
2	P	0	2	P	P	W	$100	$100	$100
3	P	0	3	P	P	W	$100	$100	$200
4	P	0	4	P	P	W	$100	$100	$300
5	B	1	4	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$200
6	P	1	5	P	P	W	$100	$100	$300
7	P	1	6	P	P	W	$100	$100	$400
8	P	1	7	P	P	W	$100	$100	$500
9	B	2	7	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$400
10	B	3	7	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$300
11	P	3	8	P	P	W	$100	$100	$400
12	B	4	8	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$300
13	P	4	9	P	P	W	$100	$100	$400
14	B	5	9	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$300
15	B	6	9	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$200
16	P	6	10	P	P	W	$100	$100	$300
17	P	6	11	P	P	W	$100	$100	$400
18	P	6	12	P	P	W	$100	$100	$500
19	B	7	12	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$400
20	P	7	13	P	P	W	$100	$100	$500
21	P	7	14	P	P	W	$100	$100	$600
22	P	7	15	P	P	W	$100	$100	$700
23	P	7	16	P	P	W	$100	$100	$800
24	B	8	16	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$700
25	B	9	16	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$600
26	P	9	17	P	P	W	$100	$100	$700
27	P	9	18	P	P	W	$100	$100	$800
28	B	10	18	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$700
29	B	11	18	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$600
30	B	12	18	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$500
31	P	12	19	P	P	W	$100	$100	$600
32	P	12	20	P	P	W	$100	$100	$700
33	B	13	20	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$600
34	P	13	21	P	P	W	$100	$100	$700
35	P	13	22	P	P	W	$100	$100	$800
36	P	13	23	P	P	W	$100	$100	$900
37	B	14	23	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$800
38	P	14	24	P	P	W	$100	$100	$900
39	B	15	24	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$800
40	P	15	25	P	P	W	$100	$100	$900
41	B	16	25	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$800
42	P	16	26	P	P	W	$100	$100	$900
43	B	17	26	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$800
44	P	17	27	P	P	W	$100	$100	$900
45	P	17	28	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,000
46	B	18	28	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$900
47	P	18	29	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,000
48	P	18	30	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,100
49	B	19	30	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,000
50	P	19	31	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,100
51	P	19	32	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,200
52	P	19	33	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,300
53	B	20	33	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,200
54	P	20	34	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,300
55	P	20	35	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,400
56	P	20	36	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,500
57	P	20	37	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,600
58	B	21	37	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,500
59	P	21	38	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,600
60	P	21	39	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,700
61	B	22	39	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,600
62	B	23	39	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,500
63	B	24	39	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,400
64	P	24	40	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,500
65	B	25	40	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,400
66	P	25	41	P	P	W	$100	$100	$1,500
67	B	26	41	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,400
68	B	27	41	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$1,300

As you can see, since the count of the P's starts and remains always greater than the B's, we end up betting on Player only through the entire shoe and make up to 17 units of profits.

The only time this method will not work too well, is when the count of the P's and the B's fluctuates frequently and the dominant side alternates from B's to P's very often.

Shoe # 369 is such an example:

Zumma Shoe # 369

Sequence/Decision/Count B's/Count P's/Next Bet/Bet On/Win or Lose/Bet Amount/Cash/Net Profit

1	B	1	0	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	$0
2	P	1	1	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$100
3	B	2	1	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$100
4	B	3	1	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$5
5	P	3	2	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$105
6	P	3	3	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$205
7	P	3	4	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$205
8	P	3	5	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$105
9	B	4	5	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$205
10	P	4	6	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$105
11	B	5	6	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$205
12	B	6	6	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$305
13	B	7	6	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$305
14	P	7	7	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$405
15	B	8	7	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$405
16	P	8	8	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$505
17	B	9	8	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$505
18	P	9	9	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$605
19	P	9	10	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$605
20	P	9	11	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$505
21	B	10	11	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$605
22	P	10	12	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$505
23	B	11	12	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$605
24	B	12	12	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$705
25	P	12	13	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$705
26	B	13	13	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$805
27	P	13	14	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$805
28	B	14	14	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$905
29	B	15	14	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$905
30	P	15	15	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$1,005
31	B	16	15	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$1,005
32	B	17	15	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$910
33	B	18	15	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$815
34	P	18	16	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$915
35	P	18	17	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$1,015
36	B	19	17	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$920
37	P	19	18	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$1,020
38	B	20	18	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$925
39	B	21	18	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$830
40	P	21	19	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$930
41	B	22	19	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$835
42	B	23	19	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$740
43	B	24	19	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$645
44	P	24	20	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$745
45	P	24	21	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$845
46	P	24	22	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$945
47	B	25	22	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$850
48	P	25	23	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$950
49	B	26	23	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$855
50	P	26	24	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$955
51	B	27	24	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$860
52	B	28	24	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$765
53	B	29	24	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$670
54	B	30	24	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$575
55	P	30	25	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$675
56	P	30	26	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$775
57	B	31	26	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$680
58	B	32	26	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$585
59	B	33	26	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$490
60	P	33	27	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$590
61	P	33	28	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$690
62	P	33	29	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$790
63	P	33	30	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$890
64	P	33	31	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$990
65	B	34	31	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$895
66	P	34	32	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$995
We are never ahead at any stage during this shoe.  The good thing is that we are using flat 
bets only and that we don't lose more than 10 units at most.
Let's take then a typical shoe, where the difference between Banker and Player decisions
is 6.  Shoe # 393 has 33 Banker decisions and 39 Player decisions.  Let's see how the
method will perform.
Zumma Shoe #393
Sequence/Decision/Count B's/Count P's/Next Bet/Bet On/Win or Lose/Bet Amount/Cash/Net Profit
1	B	1	0	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	$0
2	P	1	1	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$100
3	P	1	2	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$100
4	B	2	2	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$200
5	P	2	3	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$200
6	B	3	3	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$300
7	B	4	3	B	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$300
8	B	5	3	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$205
9	B	6	3	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$110
10	B	7	3	B	B	W	$100	$95	-$15
11	B	8	3	B	B	W	$100	$95	$80
12	P	8	4	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$20
13	P	8	5	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$120
14	P	8	6	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$220
15	P	8	7	B	B	L	$100	-$100	-$320
16	P	8	8	No Bet	B	L	$100	-$100	-$420
17	P	8	9	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$420
18	B	9	9	No Bet	P	L	$100	-$100	-$520
19	P	9	10	P	No Bet	No Bet	$0	$0	-$520
20	P	9	11	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$420
21	P	9	12	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$320
22	P	9	13	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$220
23	B	10	13	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$320
24	P	10	14	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$220
25	B	11	14	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$320
26	P	11	15	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$220
27	B	12	15	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$320
28	P	12	16	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$220
29	P	12	17	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$120
30	P	12	18	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$20
31	P	12	19	P	P	W	$100	$100	$80
32	P	12	20	P	P	W	$100	$100	$180
33	P	12	21	P	P	W	$100	$100	$280
34	B	13	21	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$180
35	B	14	21	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$80
36	P	14	22	P	P	W	$100	$100	$180
37	B	15	22	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$80
38	B	16	22	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$20
39	B	17	22	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$120
40	P	17	23	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$20
41	P	17	24	P	P	W	$100	$100	$80
42	P	17	25	P	P	W	$100	$100	$180
43	B	18	25	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$80
44	B	19	25	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$20
45	P	19	26	P	P	W	$100	$100	$80
46	B	20	26	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$20
47	P	20	27	P	P	W	$100	$100	$80
48	B	21	27	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$20
49	B	22	27	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$120
50	P	22	28	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$20
51	B	23	28	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$120
52	B	24	28	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$220
53	P	24	29	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$120
54	P	24	30	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$20
55	B	25	30	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$120
56	P	25	31	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$20
57	B	26	31	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$120
58	B	27	31	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$220
59	B	28	31	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$320
60	P	28	32	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$220
61	P	28	33	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$120
62	P	28	34	P	P	W	$100	$100	-$20
63	P	28	35	P	P	W	$100	$100	$80
64	P	28	36	P	P	W	$100	$100	$180
65	P	28	37	P	P	W	$100	$100	$280
66	B	29	37	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$180
67	B	30	37	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$80
68	P	30	38	P	P	W	$100	$100	$180
69	B	31	38	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$80
70	P	31	39	P	P	W	$100	$100	$180
71	B	32	39	P	P	L	$100	-$100	$80
72	B	33	39	P	P	L	$100	-$100	-$20
In a typical situation such as this one, we break about even.  In shoes, where the difference
between the Player and Banker decisions is greater, we will surely end up with positive
unit numbers which will equal to the number of this difference minus the number of 
fluctuations between B's and P's on our Next Bet column.  This number of fluctuations
should not be too big, as one side eventually dominates the other when the difference is
great.
So when the difference is great, your bets do make a difference in this method.

You can definitely try the above method in one of the 4 following on-line casinos I trust 
the most, as they are Safe Bet certified and approved by Verisign and most importantly,
I had a great experience and success using their software, not mentioning the wonderful
customer support and flexibility in the way you can make your payments and cash-ins.
Those 4 casinos are:

Caribbean Gold, English Harbour, Silver Dollar and SuperSlots.
They all have $50 to $100 match bonus on your initial deposits.  

They all have great alternative payment methods available:

as well as Express Payout option.

Moreover, there is a special promotion that is running June 28th - July 7th: The Casinos' 4th year Birthday Bash!  During this time frame, the above casinos will be giving away $25,000 in prizes to their customers.   Make sure you sign up now to take advantage of
those special prizes.

Wishing you all the best,
Until next week,
Izak


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